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2024年中國農(nóng)機(jī)大猜想之八：丘陵山區(qū)農(nóng)機(jī)化有突破

2024-01-16 10:08:04 來源：總站信息處 作者：劉振營 閱讀量：11827 評論

導(dǎo)讀：我國超過三分之一的農(nóng)業(yè)耕地在丘陵山區(qū)，這部分農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化能否實(shí)現(xiàn)，關(guān)系到我國農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化能否全面完成。本次，我們聊聊2024年我國丘陵山區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化有突破。

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場行情】我國超過三分之一的農(nóng)業(yè)耕地在丘陵山區(qū)，這部分農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化能否實(shí)現(xiàn)，關(guān)系到我國農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化能否全面完成。本次，我們聊聊2024年我國丘陵山區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化有突破。
 
　　1、我國丘陵山區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化現(xiàn)狀
 
　　據(jù)統(tǒng)計，中國丘陵山區(qū)的耕地面積占全國的34.62%，播種面積占全國的34.20%，而丘陵山區(qū)耕種收綜合機(jī)械化水，比全國平均水平低約22個百分點(diǎn)，比非丘陵山區(qū)低近34個百分點(diǎn)。
 
　　從拖拉機(jī)、聯(lián)合收割機(jī)和花生收獲機(jī)等幾個農(nóng)機(jī)產(chǎn)品的購機(jī)強(qiáng)度看，我國南方水田及丘陵山區(qū)占比較大的幾個省區(qū)，購機(jī)強(qiáng)度都是比較低的。例如，拖拉機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度是指每萬畝耕地拖拉機(jī)購買臺數(shù)，2020年和2022年購機(jī)強(qiáng)度比較低的省區(qū)主要有浙江、廣東、四川、云南、廣西、福建、重慶和貴州。
 
　　聯(lián)合收割機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度是指每萬畝稻麥播種面積購買聯(lián)合收割機(jī)臺數(shù)，2022年購機(jī)強(qiáng)度比較低的主要有四湖南、廣西、海南、重慶、貴州和云南等省區(qū)。
 
　　花生收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度是指每萬畝花生播種機(jī)種花生收獲機(jī)的購買臺數(shù)，2022年購機(jī)強(qiáng)度比較低的有廣東、四川、廣西、江西、湖南和重慶等省區(qū)。
 
　　應(yīng)該指出的是，購機(jī)強(qiáng)度是指某一年的情況，如果每年購機(jī)數(shù)量起伏比較大就失水準(zhǔn)，嚴(yán)格意義上講，應(yīng)該使用5年購機(jī)數(shù)量或者使用單位面積農(nóng)機(jī)保有量更加準(zhǔn)確。
 
　　2、從作業(yè)和推廣分析丘陵山區(qū)機(jī)械化落后的原因
 
　　南方水田和丘陵山區(qū)拖拉機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低，主要是因?yàn)橥侠瓩C(jī)作業(yè)項(xiàng)目單一，除旋耕作業(yè)外，幾乎沒有其他配套機(jī)具，也就沒有其他作業(yè)項(xiàng)目，使得拖拉機(jī)利用率很低，農(nóng)民不愿意購買經(jīng)常閑置的拖拉機(jī)。
 
　　聯(lián)合收割機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低的地區(qū)，一般都是丘陵山區(qū)小地塊，大機(jī)型用不上，這幾年雖然小機(jī)型得到逐步推廣，但數(shù)量相對還是很少。
 
　　花生收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低的省區(qū)，主要是推廣力度不夠，一些省區(qū)沒有將花生收獲機(jī)列入補(bǔ)貼范圍所致。另外，有些省區(qū)拖拉機(jī)保有量低，也是造成花生收獲機(jī)推廣不利的主要因素。
 
　　3、從社會經(jīng)濟(jì)分析丘陵山區(qū)機(jī)械化落后的原因
 
　　我國南方工商業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)比較發(fā)達(dá)，農(nóng)民外出打工的比較多，與各地相比，打工掙錢更多，造成很多農(nóng)民寧可耕地拋荒，也要外出打工。長此以往，農(nóng)業(yè)投入嚴(yán)重不足，拋荒地越來越多，造成農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化長期比較落后。
 
　　其次，雖然南方工商業(yè)比較發(fā)達(dá)，農(nóng)業(yè)卻很落后，農(nóng)民收入不高，購買力較低，農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械投入不足，造成農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化水平較低。
 
　　第三，丘陵山區(qū)的年輕人都外出打工，剩下的993861部隊(duì)(指老人“99”、婦女“38”、兒童“61”等人員)操作農(nóng)機(jī)比較困難，造成農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化比較落后。
 
　　第四，長期以來，丘陵山區(qū)沒有合適的農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械也是一個問題。以拖拉機(jī)為例，目前的拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)品不適合丘陵山區(qū)作業(yè)，山地型拖拉機(jī)比較少，農(nóng)民購機(jī)沒有多少選擇的余地。
 
　　4、丘陵山區(qū)農(nóng)機(jī)發(fā)展的條件正在改善
 
　　從近期情況看，丘陵山區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化正在迎來發(fā)展機(jī)遇。
 
　　一是回鄉(xiāng)創(chuàng)業(yè)的人員逐漸增多。由于我國工商業(yè)正處于改造升級時期，進(jìn)城打工的農(nóng)民回鄉(xiāng)創(chuàng)業(yè)者不斷增多，這些在城里見過世面的打工人，回鄉(xiāng)創(chuàng)業(yè)成為促進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化的關(guān)鍵的人才。
 
　　二是千萬工程將在2024年著重推進(jìn)。前面的文章論述過，千萬工程對農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化的促進(jìn)作用明顯，特別是對于丘陵山區(qū)，其果蔬茶煙藥麻等經(jīng)濟(jì)作物品種比較多，這些特色農(nóng)產(chǎn)品加工業(yè)將會得到提振，增加了農(nóng)民收入，可為這些地區(qū)的農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化提供資金支持。
 
　　三是國家對“一大一小”農(nóng)機(jī)加大支持力度。其中“一小”就是支持丘陵山區(qū)適用的小型農(nóng)機(jī)。
 
　　四是山地拖拉機(jī)等適合丘陵山區(qū)作業(yè)的農(nóng)機(jī)產(chǎn)品不斷增加，而且智能化水平不斷提高。農(nóng)民購機(jī)有了更多選擇余地，而且智能化的“傻瓜型”農(nóng)機(jī)使得男女老少都很容易操作使用。
 
　　綜上所述，2024年丘陵山區(qū)農(nóng)機(jī)化，很有可能獲得突破性進(jìn)展。
 
　　5、丘陵山區(qū)農(nóng)機(jī)化發(fā)展建議
 
　　一是發(fā)展小型山地拖拉機(jī)。小型農(nóng)機(jī)并不一定代表落后，同樣可以很先進(jìn)。日本農(nóng)業(yè)地區(qū)大多為丘陵山區(qū)，且以小農(nóng)戶經(jīng)營為主，在日本使用最多的是20-30馬力的拖拉機(jī)，很多已經(jīng)實(shí)現(xiàn)了自動駕駛和智能化。因此，我國也應(yīng)該開發(fā)更多的小型智能拖拉機(jī)，例如204、254和304型四輪驅(qū)動拖拉機(jī)，202、252、302履帶拖拉機(jī)，203、253、303前輪為履帶式的三輪拖拉機(jī)等產(chǎn)品，如果在這些機(jī)型后面加上“ET”字樣(電動型)，高度智能化就更加完美了。
 
　　二是從政策上就鼓勵丘陵山區(qū)適用農(nóng)機(jī)具的研發(fā)推廣和應(yīng)用。例如，對小型適用農(nóng)機(jī)具，包括小型拖拉機(jī)、小型收割機(jī)等丘陵山區(qū)適用農(nóng)機(jī)具，與平原地區(qū)實(shí)行差別化補(bǔ)貼管理，加大丘陵山區(qū)適用機(jī)型的補(bǔ)貼力度。
 
　　三是鼓勵引導(dǎo)企業(yè)研發(fā)丘陵山區(qū)適用農(nóng)機(jī)新產(chǎn)品。例如，重心比較低的中小型(電動)拖拉機(jī)和(電動)聯(lián)合收割機(jī)，適合丘陵山區(qū)地形地貌的履帶(電動)拖拉機(jī)等。

上一篇： 2024年農(nóng)機(jī)猜想之九：農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)器人大量推廣？

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