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南方9省區(qū)拖拉機銷量一直不大的原因是什么?

2023-12-20 11:54:46 來源:總站信息處 作者:劉振營 閱讀量:20710 評論

導(dǎo)讀:長期以來,南方一些省區(qū)拖拉機銷售量一直不是很大,相比北方一些省區(qū)差距懸殊。

  【農(nóng)機網(wǎng) 市場行情】長期以來,南方一些省區(qū)拖拉機銷售量一直不是很大,相比北方一些省區(qū)差距懸殊。接下來就分析一下湖南、海南、浙江、廣東、四川、廣西、福建、重慶和貴州,這南方9省區(qū)拖拉機銷量一直不大的原因是什么。
 
  1、南方9省區(qū)拖拉機購機強度很低
 
  海南2022年銷售拖拉機1012臺,廣西同期銷售拖拉機2914臺,拖拉機銷量哪個大?如果按絕對數(shù),廣西拖拉機銷量大一倍還多,但如果考慮到耕地面積不同,哪個省區(qū)購機強度更大呢?如果按購機強度來比較,兩個省區(qū)則相反,海南購機強度要比廣西要大一倍還多。
 
  為了表達某地拖拉機購買強度大小,我們引入拖拉機購機強度概念。所謂拖拉機購機強度,是指一定時期內(nèi),當?shù)孛咳f畝耕地銷售拖拉機的臺數(shù)。
 
  2023年9月,老農(nóng)曾發(fā)文《從購機強度分析拖拉機市場空間,探討如何激活市場》,詳述了各省區(qū)2020年和2022年,兩年的拖拉機購機強度情況。
 
  2020年,各省區(qū)拖拉機平均購機強度每萬畝耕地2.320臺,2022年上升為每畝耕地2.809臺。而南方9省區(qū),2020年拖拉機平均購機強度只有每萬畝耕地0.677臺,2022年9省區(qū)拖拉機平均購機強度略有提升,也只達到每萬畝耕地0.680臺。
 
9省區(qū)2022年拖拉機購機強度
 
9省區(qū)2020年拖拉機購機強度
 
  那么,為什么南方這些省區(qū)拖拉機購機強度這么低,而且多年來一直都很低,其原因在哪里?
 
  2、南方9省區(qū)補貼的主要配套農(nóng)機具品種與數(shù)量
 
  農(nóng)機購置補貼公示數(shù)據(jù)顯示,截至2023年12月8日,南方9省區(qū)銷售的拖拉機配套農(nóng)機具主要品種與數(shù)量如下表所列。
 
南方9省區(qū)銷售配套農(nóng)機具主要品種與數(shù)量
 
  從南方9省區(qū)補貼的配套農(nóng)機具品種數(shù)量可以看出,配套品種多的10余種,少的只有六七種,品種少是這9省區(qū)的共同點之一。
 
  統(tǒng)計過程中,對于一些配套農(nóng)機具進行識別和判斷,并進行了數(shù)據(jù)處理。例如,福建當期補貼起壟機3940臺,經(jīng)識別和判斷,實際為與手扶拖拉機配套的機具,不在統(tǒng)計的大中型拖拉機配套農(nóng)機具之列,因此予以剔除。再例如,還有一些省區(qū)補貼的中耕培土機,實際上是專用于培土的田園管理機,并不屬于拖拉機配套農(nóng)機具品種,因此也給予剔除。
 
  3、拖拉機配套農(nóng)機具品種單一是主要原因
 
  從南方9省區(qū)拖拉機配套的農(nóng)機具品種看,這些省區(qū)一個共同點,就是旋耕機在配套農(nóng)機具中,占有相當比例。
 
南方9省區(qū)補貼旋耕機數(shù)量及占比
 
  從旋耕機在南方省區(qū)配套農(nóng)機具占比可以看出,占比少的也達到6成以上,多的甚至達到9成以上。這說明,南方9省區(qū)補貼的拖拉機配套農(nóng)機具,主要以旋耕機為主。
 
  從這一點也可以看出,在南方這9省區(qū),購買拖拉機除用其帶旋耕機整地外,幾乎別無他用。這就極大限制了拖拉機的利用率,也使得拖拉機使用成本變得比較高,所以農(nóng)民普遍不愿意購買拖拉機,改用微耕機來耕整地,可以節(jié)省不少費用。
 
  既然耕整地主要使用旋耕機,購買履帶自走式旋耕機,在南方很多省區(qū)就很快普及開來,這與購買拖拉機和旋耕機相比,也可以節(jié)省一筆購置費用。
 
  如果沒有配套農(nóng)機具,拖拉機幾乎沒有什么用處,農(nóng)民自然不會購買拖拉機當擺設(shè)。如果配套農(nóng)機具種類比較多,拖拉機配套不同的農(nóng)機具,可以完成很多種類的農(nóng)田作業(yè),農(nóng)民購買拖拉機的意愿自然就強烈的多。因此,南方9省區(qū)拖拉機銷量多年來一直不大的原因,就是配套農(nóng)機具太少,品種比較單一。
 
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