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2020年以來各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量與市場對比分析

2023-09-04 09:55:06 來源：總站信息處 作者：劉振營 閱讀量：17543 評論

導讀：按照規(guī)定，國三農(nóng)機最后的補貼截止日期為2023年8月31日，也就是說2022年購買的國三拖拉機，在今年8月底就全部補貼完畢。

　　【農(nóng)機網(wǎng) 市場行情】掌握相關省區(qū)拖拉機實際銷量，有助于拖拉機生產(chǎn)企業(yè)準確判斷市場空間，科學決策拖拉機產(chǎn)品對某省區(qū)精準投放數(shù)量，提高產(chǎn)銷效率。由于多年來存在農(nóng)機補貼“寅吃卯糧”的問題，年度拖拉機實際補貼銷量的統(tǒng)計成了難題。
 
　　按照規(guī)定，國三農(nóng)機最后的補貼截止日期為2023年8月31日，也就是說2022年購買的國三拖拉機，在今年8月底就全部補貼完畢。目前市場銷售的拖拉機，一部分當年就進行公示并發(fā)放了補貼，另一部分則要在來年進行公示補貼。這樣，2022年補貼的當年銷量，加上2023年補貼的2022年銷量，就可以統(tǒng)計比較準確地計算出2022年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量。
 
　　一、2022年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量計算及結(jié)果
 
　　2022年拖拉機補貼銷量，由2022年補貼銷量和2023年1-8月補貼兩部分構(gòu)成。根據(jù)各省區(qū)農(nóng)機購置補貼公示數(shù)據(jù)，分別統(tǒng)計出各年度銷量，然后再進行計算得出2022年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量。
 
　　1、各省區(qū)2022年補貼拖拉機數(shù)量
 
　　據(jù)年初各省區(qū)農(nóng)機購置補貼公示數(shù)據(jù)統(tǒng)計，2022年補貼拖拉機各省區(qū)合計535228臺，其中2022年當年銷量300187臺。
 
2022年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼數(shù)量統(tǒng)計表
 
　　2、截至8月底2023年各省區(qū)補貼拖拉機數(shù)量
 
　　農(nóng)機購置補貼公示數(shù)據(jù)顯示，截至2023年8月31日，各省區(qū)合計補貼拖拉機350518臺，其中2023年銷量93481臺，其余為2022年及以前年度銷量。
 
2023年1-8月各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼數(shù)量統(tǒng)計表
 
　　3、2022年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量計算及結(jié)果
 
　　2022年補貼銷售的拖拉機由2022年補貼和2023年補貼兩部分組成。2022年補貼當年銷售的拖拉機300187臺里；2023年補貼的拖拉機總量中，即包括2023年部分銷量，也包括2022年銷量，還包括2021年及以前年度銷量，所以2023年補貼總量中減去2023年銷量和2021年及以前年度銷量，就是2023年補貼的2022年銷量。
 
2022年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量計算結(jié)果
 
　　二、近幾年拖拉機補貼銷量分析對比
 
　　1、2023年拖拉機補貼銷量比2020年增長21.11%
 
　　2022年拖拉機補貼銷量達到534431臺，在近幾年補貼銷量中是最高的。當時國家對拖拉機，特別是對大型拖拉機進行高額補貼，2020年曾達到拖拉機補貼銷量高峰值。2020年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量有多少呢？
 
　　據(jù)當時統(tǒng)計，2020年拖拉機補貼銷量441263臺，而2022年拖拉機補貼銷量達到534431臺，比2020年增長21.11%。
 
2020年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量
 
　　2、2020年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量及排名
 
　　2020年拖拉機補貼銷量排名前10省區(qū)都超過了2萬臺，前15名都超過了1萬臺。黑龍江和吉林兩省2020年拖拉機補貼銷量，分別以6.54萬臺和5.38萬臺高居冠亞軍；內(nèi)蒙古和河南分別以3.70萬臺和3.28萬臺列第三和第四名。另外，新疆、河北、山東、遼寧、安徽和甘肅6省區(qū)都超過了2萬臺，江蘇、山西、湖北、陜西和江西都超過了1萬臺。
 
　　3、2022年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量及排名
 
　　根據(jù)統(tǒng)計和計算結(jié)果，2022年補貼拖拉機排名前9的省區(qū)都超過了2萬臺，排名前15的省區(qū)補貼數(shù)量都超過了1萬臺。2022年補貼拖拉機最多的是內(nèi)蒙古，數(shù)量達64965臺，由2020年的第三位升至第1名；黑龍江以59387臺名列第2，河南以53429臺名列第3。2022年補貼拖拉機前10名省區(qū)，與2020年的省區(qū)一樣，但排名有很大變化。其中新疆變化最大，由2020年的第5名，降到2022年的第10名。排名第11名至15名的省區(qū)沒有變化。
 
　　4、2022年拖拉機補貼數(shù)量與實際銷售數(shù)量的差異
 
　　從總量上來說，2022年各省區(qū)合計補貼拖拉機535228臺，經(jīng)計算實際補貼銷售的拖拉機為534431臺，說明從總量上來說相差無幾，然而從各省區(qū)看差別還是挺大的。例如，內(nèi)蒙古統(tǒng)計拖拉機補貼84187臺，計算實際銷售64965臺，相差1.9萬臺；河南補貼數(shù)量為69576臺，實際銷售53429臺，相差1.6萬臺。等等。
 
　　三、2020年以來拖拉機市場分析
 
　　雖然近幾年各省區(qū)拖拉機補貼銷量排名變化不是很大，但各省區(qū)拖拉機市場的變化還是非常明顯的，主要有以下幾個特點。
 
　　1、傳統(tǒng)的拖拉機市場大省漸趨飽和
 
　　從2022年拖拉機銷量與2020年相比，黑龍江、吉林和新疆等省區(qū)，雖然排名仍然在前10名，但拖拉機銷量不增反降。黑龍江由2020年的6.54萬臺，降至2022年的5.94萬臺，降幅9.17%；吉林由2020年的5.38萬臺，降至2022年的4.83萬臺，降幅10.22%；新疆則由2020年的2.95萬臺，降至2022年的1.88萬臺，降幅36.27%。這些數(shù)據(jù)說明，以前的拖拉機市場大省，正在逐漸趨于飽和，新增購買量主要以舊機更新為主。
 
　　2、中原地區(qū)成為拖拉機最大的增量市場
 
　　河南、河北和山東幾個中原農(nóng)業(yè)大省，雖然整體排名與兩年前變化不大，但這兩年增量比較大，與兩年前與頭部省區(qū)相差倍數(shù)關系，由于近幾年新購拖拉機增量比較大，追趕至不相上下。例如，河南拖拉機銷量由2020年的3.28萬臺，增長至2022年的5.34萬臺，增長32.80%；河北拖拉機銷量由2020的2.50萬臺，增長至2022年3.90萬臺，增長56.00%；山東由2020年的2.20萬臺，增長至2022年的3.83萬臺，增長74.09%。另外，中原周圍省區(qū)的拖拉機市場也有所擴張。例如天津、安徽、山西和陜西等省區(qū)，也都有不同程度的較大幅度增長。
 
　　3、拖拉機市場翻番的省區(qū)卻并未引起太多關注
 
　　雖然中原地區(qū)拖拉機市場增量最大，但如果按增長百分比來說，有些省區(qū)增長更多，但由于其基數(shù)低，并未引起太多關注。例如，貴州拖拉機銷量由2020年的280臺，增長至2022年的653臺，增長1.33倍；西藏拖拉機銷量由2020年的1939臺，增長至2022年的4087臺，增長1.16倍；青島拖拉機銷量由2020年的1630臺，增長至2022年4420臺，增長1.71倍。另外，浙江、廣東、海南和云南等省，也都有不同程度的較大幅度增長。這些省區(qū)因為基數(shù)低，少則幾百臺，多則幾千臺，因此并未引起有關企業(yè)關注。
 
　　拖拉機作為最重要的田間移動作業(yè)動力機械，有著不可替代的作用。各省區(qū)拖拉機市場極度不平衡，雖然有個別省區(qū)拖拉機市場出現(xiàn)飽和趨勢，但更多的省區(qū)用戶需求正在迅速增長，而且有不少省區(qū)的拖拉機市場尚未真正啟動。因此，當前拖拉機不是太多了，而是遠遠不夠。
 

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