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2021年農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)形勢分析報告會在青島舉辦

2021-11-03 10:07:06 來源:中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會 閱讀量:23840 評論

導(dǎo)讀:10月27日,2021年農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)形勢分析報告會在2021中國國際農(nóng)機(jī)展同期舉辦。中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會副會長兼秘書長寧學(xué)貴、中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會副會長游凌,中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會秘書處總監(jiān)張華光等出席并作報告。報告會由中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會信息部主任張文博主持。

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 2021年農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)形勢分析報告會

 
  10月27日, 2021年農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)形勢分析報告會在2021中國國際農(nóng)機(jī)展同期舉辦。中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會副會長兼秘書長寧學(xué)貴、中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會副會長游凌,中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會秘書處總監(jiān)張華光等出席并作報告。報告會由中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會信息部主任張文博主持。

中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會信息部主任張文博
 
  中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會副會長兼秘書長寧學(xué)貴介紹了2021年1-9月份農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)的運行情況。寧學(xué)貴表示,農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)今年總體運行情況良好,至9月份,農(nóng)機(jī)骨干企業(yè)業(yè)務(wù)收入同比增長10.87%,規(guī)模以上企業(yè)業(yè)務(wù)收入增長好于去年。另根據(jù)國家統(tǒng)計局?jǐn)?shù)據(jù),上半年骨干企業(yè)利潤總額增長29%,主營業(yè)務(wù)成本增長18%,財務(wù)費用降低41%,人均工資增長14%。
 

中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會副會長兼秘書長寧學(xué)貴
 
  根據(jù)中國農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)協(xié)會統(tǒng)計,截至9月大中拖產(chǎn)量同比增幅9%,其中110-160馬力段保持增長,220-260馬力段產(chǎn)量增幅下降。拖拉機(jī)行業(yè)骨干企業(yè)投資力度加大,核心部件自制力增強(qiáng),行業(yè)呈現(xiàn)強(qiáng)者更強(qiáng)的形勢。輪式收獲機(jī)增幅為36%,玉米收獲機(jī)增幅顯著,達(dá)47%。得益于高速乘坐式插秧機(jī)的大幅增長,插秧機(jī)產(chǎn)品總體實現(xiàn)14%的增幅。壓捆機(jī)方面則增幅22%。
 
  此外,今年農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)還呈現(xiàn)出多點開花的欣喜局面,飼草機(jī)械增長明顯;采棉打包機(jī)市場龍爭虎斗;花生收獲機(jī)、殘膜回收機(jī)競爭者增加;辣椒、蔬菜等經(jīng)濟(jì)作物機(jī)械化也得到了強(qiáng)力推進(jìn)。
 
  寧學(xué)貴表示,當(dāng)下糧食安全作為國家戰(zhàn)略被高度重視,傳統(tǒng)農(nóng)機(jī)產(chǎn)品更新?lián)Q代比重加大,薄弱環(huán)節(jié)裝備需求強(qiáng)烈,國四排放升級也積極推動著產(chǎn)業(yè)升級,至明年上半年,農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)運行情況較為樂觀。

中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會副會長游凌
 
  隨后,中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會副會長游凌作了“信息化服務(wù)助力農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)發(fā)展”的報告。
 
  游凌首先介紹了中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會信息部的基本情況。該部門主要開展市場研究、動態(tài)監(jiān)測、專題調(diào)研、政策法規(guī)、行業(yè)報告、信息搜集等工作,以著力搭建全面、高效、可信的農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)信息化平臺。部門已構(gòu)建了遍布全國27個省、市、自治區(qū),多達(dá)500余家網(wǎng)點的動態(tài)監(jiān)測網(wǎng)絡(luò)。根據(jù)監(jiān)測情況,定期制作農(nóng)機(jī)市場運行監(jiān)測報告、市場專題調(diào)研報告,并形成了每月公布的農(nóng)機(jī)市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)、《中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場發(fā)展報告》、《中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通發(fā)展研究報告》等多元化的信息產(chǎn)品。
 
  游凌在會上詳細(xì)介紹了《中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通發(fā)展研究報告》(2020-2021)的相關(guān)內(nèi)容。該報告從我國農(nóng)機(jī)流通規(guī)模、農(nóng)機(jī)流通企業(yè)區(qū)域分布、近三年發(fā)展變化走勢、存在的突出問題等幾個方面詳述了我國農(nóng)機(jī)流通的現(xiàn)狀。介紹了傳統(tǒng)農(nóng)機(jī)流通模式及幾種創(chuàng)新農(nóng)機(jī)流通模式的探索?!秷蟾妗愤€對農(nóng)機(jī)流通發(fā)展提出了幾點建議并做了詳細(xì)說明,包括重塑經(jīng)營理念,優(yōu)化業(yè)務(wù)構(gòu)成;創(chuàng)新服務(wù)模式,提升核心競爭力;打造經(jīng)銷商品牌;完善內(nèi)部管理;提升市場研究能力,關(guān)注市場權(quán)力轉(zhuǎn)移;提升戰(zhàn)略控制能力等。
 
  據(jù)悉,該《報告》是中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會信息部首次發(fā)布系統(tǒng)性的農(nóng)機(jī)流通行業(yè)研究成果,報告采用來自農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼、市場調(diào)研、國家統(tǒng)計局相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),遵循從新、從實原則,并使用理論論證與市場調(diào)研實證分析相結(jié)合的方式,其中涉及的理論觀點充分征求了具有代表性的經(jīng)銷商的意見。此外,引用大量來自農(nóng)機(jī)經(jīng)銷商調(diào)研的成果,是《報告》的又一重要特色。中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會信息部專門設(shè)計了調(diào)研問卷,抽樣調(diào)查了 1300 多家經(jīng)銷商,形成了較為客觀的結(jié)論,對旁證理論觀點發(fā)揮了重要作用。
 
  游凌最后表示,歡迎經(jīng)銷商同仁加入中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會的市場動態(tài)監(jiān)測網(wǎng)點,經(jīng)銷商提供一個監(jiān)測“點”,協(xié)會可回饋一個信息“面”。
 

中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會秘書處總監(jiān)張華光
 
  中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會秘書處總監(jiān)張華光在會上分析與預(yù)測了2021-2022年的農(nóng)機(jī)市場。他表示,今年前3季度是我國農(nóng)機(jī)市場多年未遇的特殊年份。一方面面臨著去年疫情影響下的市場“洼地”,同比起伏巨大;另一方面,原材料價格大幅度漲價,推高生產(chǎn)企業(yè)成本。限電壓制產(chǎn)能,形成部分市場缺貨。加之今年是補(bǔ)貼政策三年一調(diào)整的新三年之第一年,許多區(qū)域的補(bǔ)貼政策尚不明朗。多重因素的交互作用,決定了今年農(nóng)機(jī)市場的特點較為突出。
 
  張華光表示,今年農(nóng)機(jī)市場具有穩(wěn)中向好,走勢如同過山車;多重利好驅(qū)動,出口大幅攀升;利潤縮水,競爭演繹馬太效應(yīng);產(chǎn)品為王,偏好突出;原材料漲價、限電、自然環(huán)境突變等黑天鵝事件頻出等特點。
 
  張華光隨后詳述了拖拉機(jī)、收獲機(jī)、插秧機(jī)、播種機(jī)、植保機(jī)等五大類別農(nóng)機(jī)今年的市場表現(xiàn),并介紹了植保類機(jī)械、打捆機(jī)、秸稈還田機(jī)等細(xì)分市場的情況。據(jù)分析,低速發(fā)展將成為未來3-5年農(nóng)機(jī)市場發(fā)展的常態(tài),市場需求將愈發(fā)呈現(xiàn)大型化——主要解決大田作物的機(jī)械化、小型化——主要解決丘陵、山區(qū)小田作物的機(jī)械化,和碎片化的趨勢,此外,高端、智能農(nóng)機(jī)亦將成為中國農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)的必爭戰(zhàn)略要地。
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